How many will be suffered by Cancer in 2020? Forecasting with Lee-Carter model with covariates
By using Lee-Carter model by sex and the origin of tumor we forecasted the cancer incidence. The usefulness of Lee-Carter methods to the incidence rates was shown. For forecasting the future the time trend parameter of Lee-Carter model behaves very close to Random-walk but it is not exactly Random-walk for most cases. It is better to leave the option open to AR(1) and not restrict ourselves to Ran