Wavelet improvement in turning point detection using a hidden Markov model: from the aspects of cyclical identification and outlier correction
The hidden Markov model (HMM) has been widely used in regime classification and turning point detection for econometric series after the decisive paper by Hamilton (Econometrica 57(2):357–384, 1989). The present paper will show that when using HMM to detect the turning point in cyclical series, the accuracy of the detection will be influenced when the data are exposed to high volatilities or combi