COVID-19 Modeling Outcome versus Reality in Sweden
It has been very difficult to predict the development of the COVID-19 pandemic based on mathematical models for the spread of infectious diseases, and due to major non-pharmacological interventions (NPIs), it is still unclear to what extent the models would have fit reality in a “do nothing” scenario. To shed light on this question, the case of Sweden during the time frame from autumn 2020 to spri