Growth Expectations, Dispersion of Beliefs and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns
The present study investigates whether the mean and the standard deviation of real GDP growth forecasts from the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) can help to explain the cross-sectional variation of expected returns in the German stock market. The expected real GDP growth from the SPF can be interpreted as a proxy for expected business conditions, whereas the cross-sectional dispersion
